One of the hallmarks of a valid scientific theory is the ability not only to describe, but to predict. Many breakthroughs in physics and chemistry came because a model or a theory predicted something that hadn’t been discovered or seen yet, but caused scientists to “find it”. How wonderful is that?
What does that have to do with glowball warming? Well, what would you say if it predicted something, but that something wasn’t actually observed? How does this sound to you
..Part of the scientific consensus on global warming may be flawed, a new study asserts.
The researchers compared predictions of 22 widely used climate “models” — elaborate schematics that try to forecast how the global weather system will behave — with actual readings gathered by surface stations, weather balloons and orbiting satellites over the past three decades.
The study, published online this week in the International Journal of Climatology, found that while most of the models predicted that the middle and upper parts of the troposphere —1 to 6 miles above the Earth’s surface — would have warmed drastically over the past 30 years, actual observations showed only a little warming, especially over tropical regions.
Ouch! That’s gotta hurt. Maybe that explains why AlGore is doing so much flying around these days? Gotta get those atmospheric readings up “where they’re supposed to be”. Ya think? He’d better hurry though, ’cause they’re losing ground fast. Remember this, from last week?
..researchers, who include many of the world’s most acclaimed climate scientists, have issued the ‘Bali Climate Declaration by Scientists’ in which they call on government negotiators from the 180 nations represented at the meeting to recognize the urgency of taking action now. They say the world may have as little as 10 years to start reversing the global rise in emissions.
They must be pretty convinced it’s urgent. But then again, maybe not so much.
..BALI, Indonesia (AP) — Guidelines on greenhouse gas emissions cuts opposed by the United States may be “too ambitious” to include in a final statement from the climate conference in Bali, the U.N. chief said Wednesday.
Bummer for you. The climate models aren’t cooperating, the scientific data readings aren’t coming out right, and that darned United States still refuses to be shaken down for a patsy. So they just aren’t going to pass the “guidelines for future worship of Gaia”, er, I mean, “guidelines for cutting greenhouse emissions by the evil United States”, er, I mean, the developed industrial nations”. This here interweb thing is making it pretty tough to sell the global warming snake oil to some of the rubes. Of course, none of those guys can predict the weather for next week, and they know it. But that doesn’t seem to stop them. It’s hard to convince everyone to accept a prediction for irreversable climate disaster in ten years when your model predictions can’t get the temperature right this year.
But world climate conferences is where it’s at. Great gig, if you can pull it off with a straight face. I mean, look at where they hold conferences. Rio, Kyoto, Bali… I mean, Boise is 25 degrees today. So is Bali. 25C is what, 77 degrees, at 4 AM? Tough duty, this global warming conference stuff.
Entries (RSS)